Forecast Calls for Housing Market Rebound Later This Year

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Typically, economic forecasts rely on a mix of current and historical data. If you understand where things are today and what’s happened in the past, you can make an educated guess about what the future might look like. This becomes harder, though, when there aren’t obvious historical precedents to use for comparison.

Despite this, Freddie Mac’s most recent quarterly forecast attempts to predict how well the housing market will endure the economic impact of the coronavirus. So, what do they see? According to Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, we may begin to see a rebound during the second half of the year.

Specifically, Freddie Mac sees home sales and price increases slowing this year before rebounding in 2021.

Source: National Association of REALTORS

Start your Ann Arbor Area home search today by visiting https://nexthomevictors.realgeeks.com/dani-hallsell/

To your health, Dani

6 Bad Household Habits to Break

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Bad habits are so easy to fall into. But in the end, we know they only make us miserable. They’re the opposite of what makes you happy. They’re what make you miserable. Here are 6 bad household habits to break now for a happier you (and a fatter bank account):

#1 Taking Long, Steamy Showers (I’m guilty!)

Spending 20 minutes in the steam may be good for your pores, but it’s also great for mold and mildew. Run the exhaust fan while you’re singing in the shower, squeegee the walls afterward, and scrub that grout every few months.

#2 Keeping Out the Sun

Shutting your shades on winter days might seem smart. More insulation from the chilly weather, right? Your energy bill disagrees. A sunny window can warm your home and lower your heating costs. And as a bonus, you could see a decrease in seasonal depression.

#3 Compulsively Buying Bargains

Finding a deal feels so good, but cheaper isn’t always better. In fact, budget buys might cost you more in the long run. For instance, dollar paintbrushes will leave annoying streaks, requiring a costly re-do. And when it comes to appliances, permit a little splurge — especially if selling your home is on the horizon.

#4 Running a Half-Full Dishwasher

You get a gold star for always remembering to start your dishwasher before bed, right? Clean dishes every morning! Go you! Yeah, about that: Your dishwasher wastes water unless it’s completely full.

#5 Mega-Mulching

Your precious trees really are precious. Each one can add $2,000 or more to your home’s value while saving on energy costs. A “tree volcano” is actually damaging your foliage. Too much mulch suffocates your tree, causing root rot and welcoming invasive insects.  Protect your precious trees by packing mulch loosely, letting water filter properly toward the trunk.

#6 Going on a Remodeling Rampage

Don’t break out the sledgehammer for a demo three weeks after moving in unless your home needs serious, obvious work. Give yourself time to understand the home’s quirks before renovating. For instance, you could dump $15,000 into a kitchen remodel — only to realize the original layout would have worked better for holiday parties. Or you paint a room your favorite color, Wild Plum, only to realize the natural light in the room makes it look more like Rotten Plum. Whoops.

Breaking habits takes time, so it’s important to be kind to ourselves when we slip up. When we create new habits, we’re building new wiring, but it’s not like the old wiring disappears. Don’t turn slip-ups into give-ups.

Have any real estate related question? Send me message using the box to the right of this page.

Dani

Ann Arbor Area Board of REALTORS® Reports Washtenaw County March Real Estate Statistics

Total residential home & condominium sales dropped 6.6% along with single-family home sales decreasing by 1.5% compared to this time last year. New single-family home listings decreased in March, with a 13% fall compared to this time last year. However, the average single-family home listing price rose by 11%. During this past March 202 single family homes were reported sold.

In March, new condominium listings went down with a 12% decrease. However, condominium sales saw an increase of 35% compared to last year. The average condominium list price also rose by 0.2% and the sales price increased by 0.4% compared to that of 2019. During this past March, 69 condominiums were reported sold.

Year to date 724 residential home & condominium listings sold between January 1st and March 31st. Single-family home sales saw 556 listings reported sold during this time frame.

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NAR Survey; COVID-19 Effect on Real Estate

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The National Association of Realtors recently conducted an Economic Pulse Flash Survey on April 5-6th. The survey showed that 59% of its members feel buyers are delaying home purchases for a few months, while 57%, said sellers are doing the same with listings.

NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun commented, “Home sales will decline this spring season because of unique economic and social consequences resulting from the coronavirus outbreak, but much of the activity looks to reappear later in the year. Home prices will remain stable because of a pandemic-induced reduction in inventory coupled with less immediate concerns over foreclosures.”

The survey also asked members questions about how the pandemic has impacted the residential and commercial real estate markets. A large majority of respondents, 90%, said buyer interest has diminished during the crisis, while 80% said there had been a decline in homes out on the market.

Finally, respondents also mentioned the importance that technology is playing in the current environment. The most common ‘tools’ mentioned in the survey were that of e-signatures, social media, messaging apps, and virtual tours.

Source: National Association of REALTORS

If you have any real estate related questions, I’m available by phone, text, email and social media. 

To your health, Dani

Looking to the Future: What the Experts Are Saying

Looking to the Future: What the Experts Are Saying | MyKCM

As our lives, our businesses, and the world we live in change day by day, we’re all left wondering how long this will last. How long will we feel the effects of the coronavirus? How deep will the impact go? The human toll may forever change families, but the economic impact will rebound with a cycle of downturn followed by economic expansion like we’ve seen play out in the U.S. economy many times over.

Here’s a look at what leading experts and current research indicate about the economic impact we’ll likely see as a result of the coronavirus. It starts with a forecast of U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

According to Investopedia:

“Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the total monetary or market value of all the finished goods and services produced within a country’s borders in a specific time period. As a broad measure of overall domestic production, it functions as a comprehensive scorecard of the country’s economic health.”

When looking at GDP (the measure of our country’s economic health), a survey of three leading financial institutions shows a projected sharp decline followed by a steep rebound in the second half of this year:Looking to the Future: What the Experts Are Saying | MyKCMA recent study from John Burns Consulting also notes that past pandemics have also created V-Shaped Economic Recoveries like the ones noted above, and they had minimal impact on housing prices. This certainly gives hope and optimism for what is to come as the crisis passes.

With this historical analysis in mind, many business owners are also optimistic for a bright economic return. A recent PricewaterhouseCoopers survey shows this confidence, noting 66% of surveyed business owners feel their companies will return to normal business rhythms within a month of the pandemic passing, and 90% feel they should be back to normal operation 1 to 3 months after:Looking to the Future: What the Experts Are Saying | MyKCMFrom expert financial institutions to business leaders across the country, we can clearly see that the anticipation of a quick return to normal once the current crisis subsides is not too far away. In essence, this won’t last forever, and we will get back to growth-mode. We’ve got this.

Bottom Line

Lives and businesses are being impacted by the coronavirus, but experts do see a light at the end of the tunnel. As the economy slows down due to the health crisis, we can take guidance and advice from experts that this too will pass.

To your health, Dani

COVID-19’s Effect on the Michigan Real Estate Market

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During these unprecedented times, I have received a lot of questions regarding the home buying/selling process and how it is being affected by the government order to “stay in place”.  Here are the major take-aways:

  • Real estate brokers and salespersons are not “critical infrastructure workers”and therefore may not leave their homes for work.  The only narrow exception to the order is the instance where work is absolutely necessary to assist those with a genuine and emergent need, such as an immediate lack of shelter.   Real estate services, like the showing of homes and other property, open houses, and other client contact should be considered to be non-critical and travel to do so is prohibited through April 13, 2020.
  • Mortgage Lenders and Title Companies fall under the “critical infrastructure workers” category and will continue working. Lenders are working remotely, so you can still get a pre-approval, apply for a mortgage, re-finance a mortgage, and receive funds to close on a home. Title companies are offering “drive up” closing; they overnight the closing package to the buyer & seller for signatures, then you drive to the office where an employee will collect the closing documents and payments. If the buyer/seller requests to close in the building, the real estate agent will not be allowed to attend. Real estate brokerages have the ability to participate in closings via conference calls or other video conferencing methods to comply with the Governor’s order.
  • Home inspectors do not fall into the “critical infrastructure workers” category. If you have an accepted offer during the “stay in place” order, have your real estate agent include an addendum for a delayed inspection.
  • Michigan Realtors® have provided real estate agents an “Addendum to Purchase Agreement COVID-19 Condition Extension”. This addendum states that if COVID-19 causes a shutdown or work stoppage of a governmental entity or settlement service provider makes it temporarily impossible for either party to perform as required under a Purchase Agreement, or in the event Purchaser or Seller becomes the subject of a medically required quarantine, then all outstanding contract deadlines may be extended for as long as these conditions continue, but in no event longer than thirty calendar days.

If you are planning to make a move this year, this is a good time to plan. Talk to a lender to find out how much you can afford to pay each month, what amount you will need for a down payment and how much you will need to save for closing cost. Use the links above to search homes for sale, this will give you an idea of what is available in your price range. If you have a home to sell, use the link above to get an idea of your current market value.

In closing, I am always available to answer questions and provide recommendations for local lenders and service providers. You can reach me via phone, text, email or visit me on social media.

Wishing you good health, Dani

 

Are We About to See a New Wave of Foreclosures?

Are We About to See a New Wave of Foreclosures? | MyKCM

With all of the havoc being caused by COVID-19, many are concerned we may see a new wave of foreclosures. Restaurants, airlines, hotels, and many other industries are furloughing workers or dramatically cutting their hours. Without a job, many homeowners are wondering how they’ll be able to afford their mortgage payments.

In spite of this, there are actually many reasons we won’t see a surge in the number of foreclosures like we did during the housing crash over ten years ago. Here are just a few of those reasons:

The Government Learned its Lesson the Last Time

During the previous housing crash, the government was slow to recognize the challenges homeowners were having and waited too long to grant relief. Today, action is being taken swiftly. Just this week:

  • The Federal Housing Administration indicated it is enacting an “immediate foreclosure and eviction moratorium for single family homeowners with FHA-insured mortgages” for the next 60 days.
  • The Federal Housing Finance Agency announced it is directing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to suspend foreclosures and evictions for “at least 60 days.”

Homeowners Learned their Lesson the Last Time

When the housing market was going strong in the early 2000s, homeowners gained a tremendous amount of equity in their homes. Many began to tap into that equity. Some started to use their homes as ATM machines to purchase luxury items like cars, jet-skis, and lavish vacations. When prices dipped, many found themselves in a negative equity situation (where the mortgage was greater than the value of their homes). Some just walked away, leaving the banks with no other option but to foreclose on their properties.

Today, the home equity situation in America is vastly different. From 2005-2007, homeowners cashed out $824 billion worth of home equity by refinancing. In the last three years, they cashed out only $232 billion, less than one-third of that amount. That has led to:

  • 37% of homes in America having no mortgage at all
  • Of the remaining 63%, more than 1 in 4 having over 50% equity

Even if prices dip (and most experts are not predicting that they will), most homeowners will still have vast amounts of value in their homes and will not walk away from that money.

There Will Be Help Available to Individuals and Small Businesses

The government is aware of the financial pain this virus has caused and will continue to cause. Yesterday, the Associated Press reported:

“In a memorandum, Treasury proposed two $250 billion cash infusions to individuals: A first set of checks issued starting April 6, with a second wave in mid-May. The amounts would depend on income and family size.”

The plan also recommends $300 billion for small businesses.

Bottom Line

These are not going to be easy times. However, the lessons learned from the last crisis have Americans better prepared to weather the financial storm. For those who can’t, help is on the way.

If you have real estate related questions, please reach out to me anytime. I’m just a phone call away!  (734) 623-9442

Dani